{"id":1095,"date":"2010-06-07T05:00:00","date_gmt":"2010-06-07T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lbpost.com\/articles\/sports\/couch-commentary-no-group-e-team-will-win-the-world-cup\/"},"modified":"2010-06-07T05:00:00","modified_gmt":"2010-06-07T05:00:00","slug":"couch-commentary-no-group-e-team-will-win-the-world-cup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/couch-commentary-no-group-e-team-will-win-the-world-cup","title":{"rendered":"Couch Commentary: No Group E Team Will Win The World Cup"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--StartFragment-->  <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-style: italic; \">Editor&#8217;s note: click &#8220;World Cup&#8221; in the tags below to see the rest of Leaky Pipes&#8217; columns<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">We are halfway through the field and I hope I\u2019ve done a good job convincing you that no one will win the World Cup.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Every one of the contenders has serious flaws, but while previous groups featured whole teams packed with wild-cards, three of Group E are wild-cards because of how reliant they are on one player.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>You can\u2019t win the World Cup based on one-player.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>So Group E, and their 28 counterparts throughout the world, will not win it all.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><strong><o:p><\/o:p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Japan- <\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">This is the fourth straight World Cup that Japan has qualified for, but that is due in large part to a relatively weak Asian field.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Their performance in their friendlies was even weaker (the only teams they didn\u2019t lose to&#8211;Scotland and Venezuela&#8211;were also the only two that weren\u2019t World Cup-caliber foes).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>In fact, as a team Japan has been outscored 9-1 in their four warm-ups this year.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Shunsuke Nakamura&#8211;who has been injured and missed all of those warm-ups&#8211;is their best hope to score.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>He will always hold a special place in my heart for his time at Celtic, especially his beautiful free-kick goal at Old Trafford in the Champion\u2019s League, and assuming Nakamura is healthy he can be one of the most-dangerous free-kick men in the world (even more dangerous than a certain injured kick-bending heart-throb).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But Nakamura may put one, maybe two, in the back of the net and it still won\u2019t be enough.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The Japanese don\u2019t have enough talent to keep up with their three groupmates, and they certainly don\u2019t have anywhere near the talent to win it all.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Denmark- <\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">I\u2019m still not sure who overrates<\/span><strong> <\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">Nicklas Bendtner more: me or himself.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But either way the Arsenal striker might be my favorite person in the world.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>(Sadly, that is not an exaggeration).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>I can\u2019t explain why; he\u2019s only 22 so he\u2019s too young to have really accomplished anything, yet his mouth is more unstoppable than the BP oil spill.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>He has some absolutely miserable games (the kind of days where he couldn\u2019t find the back of the net with Google Earth and a Garmin), and yet my admiration for him knows no bounds.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><em><o:p><\/o:p><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">The reason I bring up Nicki is that he is the key for Denmark advancing.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Not in the \u201cthey need him to play well\u201d kind of way, but more in the \u201che has to put up a remarkable performance\u201d kind of way.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>In the 20 games he has started for Denmark, he has scored 8 goals and has 5 assists.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Their defense is respectable but their offense is almost entirely reliant on Bendtner.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And he has shown that there are days when he is unstoppable (it\u2019s just that those days are slightly farther apart than we would prefer.)<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Before him, Denmark failed to qualify for the Euro 08 or for the \u201906 World Cup but in \u201902 they made it out of Group and in \u201998 they made it to the Quarters.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>In other words, the previous generation of Danish footballers had some success and now it is the new generation\u2019s turn.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And there are two things to know about this new generation: 1) they will have some true international success once their day comes and 2) their day is not here yet\u2026and therefore Denmark will not win it all.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Cameroon- <\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">With one of the cooler team names in the world, Les Lions Indomables have some real potential.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>FIFA already considers them the 11<sup>th<\/sup> best team in the world and a strong Cup showing would vault them into the Top 10.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>From \u201990 to \u201902 they made all 4 World Cups before missing the \u201906 one; in Africa they have had some success&#8211;making the quarter-finals this year and the title game two years ago (both times losing to eventual champion Egypt).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They qualified easily for this year\u2019s World Cup and in Samuel Eto\u2019o they have one of the best strikers in the world&#8211;he scored 9 goals in 10 WC Qualifying games.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Eto\u2019o recently threatened to not play because of some criticism from a former Cameroon player, but I take that threat about as seriously as I do a seven-year-old threatening to run away from home.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Eto\u2019o is like James Brown putting back on his cape and limping towards backstage&#8211;it is a stage act designed to force the people to show how much they love him.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But he loves the big stage too much to really leave.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Like most of the African teams, Cameroon is a semi-chic pick to advance deep into the tournament, due in part to that damn home-field advantage everyone talks about despite the fact that Cameroon is as close to South Africa as Los Angeles is to Hawaii.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And there\u2019s also the fact that Eto\u2019o will be dealing with the same long Champion\u2019s League season that the German team will.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>If he\u2019s tired can the rest of the team pick up of the slack?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Probably not.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But if he puts on a show and this team keeps their defense intact, the Indomitable Lions might exceed the already high expectations.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They still won\u2019t win it all, they just don\u2019t have the depth of talent for that, but the semi-finals are not out of the question. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Netherlands-<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\"> Like Germany, the Netherlands are a little harder to find flaws in.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Ever since the 70s (when they finished as runners-up twice) the Clockwork Orange football has been an exciting one.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They have a flair in their attack and they play defense in a way that doesn\u2019t slow the game down.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Yet they still seem to disappoint&#8211;in \u201906 a talented Dutch team only put one goal in against Serbia, and was held scoreless against Argentina and Portugal (the second game being an elimination game).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>In \u201902 they didn\u2019t even make the World Cup and \u201998 they lost on PKs to Brazil.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">The biggest knock on this team is probably how slight a knock it takes to injure their players.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>This team is more frail than Samuel Jackson in <em>Unbreakable<\/em><span style=\"font-style:normal\">.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Even when they are spread throughout Europe on their club teams, they still seem to share the same fragility.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>A strong wind during the group stage and half their starting eleven could end up with the plague.<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">In Europe they have had significant success&#8211;making the Semis in 4 of the last 7, including winning it all in \u201988, but that success has rarely translated into the World Cup (making the Semis just once in the last 7 World Cups).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span>So now it becomes a philosophical question: can we blame the current team for the sins of their forbearers?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Basically should history really be a factor in current endeavors?<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>I say \u201cYes!\u201d Because without history there would be no reason to say the Netherlands can\u2019t win it all, and that would then eliminate my whole theory.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>So I say this team will have the same shortcomings as before and the Netherlands will breeze through Group only to choke in PKs in the later rounds.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>If you\u2019ve already filled out your bracket, you more than likely have that choke game coming against Brazil in the Quarters; but if the Dutch make it through that game\u2026<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">If you offered me the Dutch or the Field (the other 31 teams), I would take the math and take the Field&#8211;therefore, the Dutch won\u2019t win it all.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>(However, if you offered me 10 to one odds on the Dutch to win it all, I\u2019d be really tempted\u2026)<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Come back tomorrow to find out why no one in Group F (including the hated Italians) will win it all\u2026<o:p><\/o:p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>  <!--EndFragment--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Leaky Pipes is back with his uber-offensive (apparently) series explaining why no team will taste immortality this Summer<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","inline_featured_image":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":"","_":"","_author_alias":"","cap-aim":"","cap-description":"","cap-display_name":"","cap-first_name":"","cap-jabber":"","cap-last_name":"","cap-linked_account":"","cap-newspack_employer":"","cap-newspack_job_title":"","cap-newspack_phone_number":"","cap-newspack_role":"","cap-user_email":"","cap-user_login":"","cap-website":"","cap-yahooim":"","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_email_html":"","newspack_email_type":"","newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_hide_page_title":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_show_share_buttons":"","newspack_sponsor_byline_prefix":"","newspack_sponsor_disclaimer_override":"","newspack_sponsor_flag_override":"","newspack_sponsor_only_direct":"","newspack_sponsor_url":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_show_updated_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-1095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1095","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1095"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1095\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1095"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1095"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1095"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=1095"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=1095"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}