{"id":1119,"date":"2010-06-01T05:03:00","date_gmt":"2010-06-01T05:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lbpost.com\/articles\/sports\/couch-commentary-no-group-c-team-will-win-the-world-cup\/"},"modified":"2010-06-01T05:03:00","modified_gmt":"2010-06-01T05:03:00","slug":"couch-commentary-no-group-c-team-will-win-the-world-cup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/couch-commentary-no-group-c-team-will-win-the-world-cup","title":{"rendered":"Couch Commentary: No Group C Team Will Win The World Cup"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--StartFragment-->  <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"font-style: italic; \">Editor&#8217;s note: you can read Ryan&#8217;s columns about Group A <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lbpost.com\/sports\/general\/9780\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">by clicking here<\/a>, and Group B <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lbpost.com\/sports\/general\/9802\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">by clicking here<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">After the 2006 tournament in which the US drew the Group of Death (eventual champs Italy, powerhouse Czech Republic, and up-and-coming Ghana) I was sure that this World Cup\u2019s draw was going to crush us again.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>When the US got drawn with England (the top team in qualifying), I yelled something that I\u2019m not allowed to repeat on this site.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>I was sure The Death was forming around us.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>So when Algeria and Slovenia became teams 3 and 4 in the group\u2026well, let\u2019s just say I was relieved.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The US was handed advancing on a silver platter.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span>But will they win it all?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>I think by now you\u2019ve realized that with all the shortcomings of this year\u2019s field, no one will win the World Cup.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Especially not anyone in Group C\u2026<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>England<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">&#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/worldcupbafanabafana2010.blogspot.com\/2010\/03\/why-usa-soccer-fans-need-to-start.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">I think I have done a pretty good job riling up English fans<\/a>&#8211;although don\u2019t worry, Uruguay, you\u2019re now my favorite fans to antagonize.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The difference between England and Uruguay is that this year&#8217;s English team actually has talent (I just couldn\u2019t resist\u2026)<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">But the thing that\u2019s clear about England is that while they have the talent, they rarely have the success they expect.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They have won only one more World Cup than the USA has.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>In fact England did as well in the Euro 2008 tournament as America did (sadly, both failed to qualify).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But look a little deeper and you\u2019ll notice the Three Lions haven\u2019t been eliminated in the group stages since the 50s, and each of the last two World Cups they made the Quarter-Finals.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">What&#8217;s more, they only lost in \u201906 because of penalty kicks and in \u201902 because they ran into (eventual champs) Brazil.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And suddenly you realize that England is not a bad team, or a group of choke artists, or whatever else the English media wants to say; they are simply a victim of high expectations.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The English media likes to blame the WAGs for distracting the team (WAG\u2019s stands for Wives and Girlfriends; think: <em>the Real Housewives of Manchester<\/em><span style=\"font-style:normal\">).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Their shopping and partying make an interesting scapegoat but I find it hard to believe that their six-figure shopping sprees are what caused Frank Lampard and Steven Gerrard to miss their PKs.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Overall what\u2019s actually plaguing England isn\u2019t bimbo wives, or lack of quality strikers, or shoddy goalkeeping, or overly similar midfielders&#8211;well, ok, the goalkeeping might be a factor, but the true culprit is pressure.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">It\u2019s been 44 years since they last won the Cup (which, not coincidentally was also the last time they hosted it), and the pressure has been building and building since then.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Like the soft rabbit that they love to hold a little too tightly, this English team can\u2019t control themselves every time they are in a big tournament.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>A game against the Colonies was probably the last game they wanted to open their schedule with, but the second-half of the draw ensures that it should be an easy advancement (or a colossal collapse).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">They have one of the world\u2019s best 3 players (in Wayne Rooney), they have a fast midfield, they have an experienced defense, and even their keeper situation isn\u2019t as bad as in previous years.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>This team could do very well, and their history of coming up short is really the only reason not to believe in them.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>That said, they still have a ton of questions to answer (is Crouch really the answer to partner with Rooney upfront?);<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>they have a ton of drama (who\u2019s keeping an eye on the wives when John Terry\u2019s not around?); and they have a ton of talent that has been battle-tested by the best league in the world (will the EPL\u2019s demands leave them exhausted before this tourney even begins?).<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>This team won\u2019t win it all, no one will; but success won\u2019t be how far they go, it will be how the country accepts their inevitable loss.<strong><o:p><\/o:p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>USA- <\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">I strongly considered giving \u201cWhy the US won\u2019t win the World Cup\u201d its own column.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>There certainly are enough reasons to justify a few thousand words on the matter, but ultimately writing that would be like writing \u201cWhy you won\u2019t win the lottery\u201d or \u201cWhy I\u2019m not as fast as Usain Bolt\u201d.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">To win it all takes luck (which has been in short supply for Sam\u2019s Army), skill (which may arguably be in shorter supply), and consistency (which undoubtedly has been the least of the three).<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The US won\u2019t win it all, but that\u2019s not to say that this World Cup can\u2019t still be a success.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Actually while I said I had a few thousand words on why the US won\u2019t win, it really only takes one: defense.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The back-line is unquestionably the weak spot of the team.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>With Gooch coming off an injury, Demerit battling his problems, and the both the left-back and right-back spots having a bulls-eye on them, it\u2019s easy to imagine a tournament (like the Confederations Cup) where the US gives up 3 goals nearly every game.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But as I mentioned earlier I was fully expecting the US to get shafted and draw a few more tough teams; fortunately, the Ping Pong Ball Gods smiled on us.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Instead the US gets a high-profile, no-expectations game against our footballing Godfathers and then we get two games that we must win.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Anything short of two wins against Algeria and Slovenia would be Bob Bradley\u2019s ticket to a permanent vacation.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But it\u2019s not just the two winnable games that made this a good draw, it\u2019s the audition factor.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>With the exception of Tim Howard and maybe Clint Dempsey, the entire rest of the US team is on display.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Landon Donovan with a good showing can increase his stock enough to get more serious attention from the EPL, Jozy Altidore can prove that he just didn\u2019t have enough talent around him at Hull and he too can get back to the Premiere League.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Oguchi Onyewu might prove that he\u2019s worthy of a starting spot in a top-tier league (as opposed to just Milan\u2019s bench), and Jose Torres might make the rare change by leaving the Mexican league for Europe.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>(<a href=\"http:\/\/www.lbpost.com\/sports\/general\/9658\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Friend of the site, Jonny Bornstein<\/a><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">&nbsp;might have the most to prove if he cracks the starting eleven.)<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The point is: every one of these guys is on display, not just for their country, but for their livelihood.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>For a team that has been known to come out flat in big tournaments, that might be an important motivation.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">The Confederations Cup last Summer was a fantastic building block for the team.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The good from that? Playing in South Africa, against top teams, and making it to a halftime lead in the Final.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The bad from that? Making it all the way to the Final and still be outscored for the Tournament tells you how inconsistent the team was.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The good for this Cup?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Playing somewhere other than Europe.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The bad? Germany waiting for them in the Elimination Round.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The good?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>In a field more wide-open than any in recent memory, the US has the potential to show they belong.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The bad?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Expectations only lead to heartbreak.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>So I will reiterate: the US won\u2019t win it all\u2026don\u2019t even think about it.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Algeria<\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">&#8211; Part of the reason the US and England look at this as an easy draw is that of the 6 African teams, Algeria is probably the weakest.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They don\u2019t have the depth that some of the other African teams have, and with the US getting them in the 3<sup>rd<\/sup> game, there is a distinct possibly that injuries or Yellow Cards could further weaken the team.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>The flip side to that coin though is that the biggest shortcoming of Algeria is experience.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They haven\u2019t made the World Cup in nearly a quarter-century and their individual players have very little international experience.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But by getting two games under their belt by the time they meet the US, those players could find their comfort zone and become a dangerous team. <o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Home Continent soil is known to do magical things&#8211;like spinach to Popeye or steroids to A-Rod.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And add to that that Algeria has some decent wins (especially a 3-2 win over Ivory Coast in the African tournament; or beating reigning African champion Egypt to eliminate them from World Cup qualifying) and you\u2019ve got a recipe for surprises.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Of course that same Egypt team walloped Algeria the next time they played, and despite being the same continent, Algeria is as close to South Africa as New York is to London.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And of course a young team that could be eliminated by the time they meet the US in the 3<sup>rd<\/sup> game could just phone it in.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>That\u2019s the thing with young teams&#8211;you never know which one will show up.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>What <em>do<\/em><span style=\"font-style:normal\"> you know?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>That no matter which Algerian team shows up there\u2019s no way they\u2019re winning it all. <o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><strong>Slovenia- <\/strong><span style=\"font-weight:normal\">the story of Group C is England\/USA.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>But the secondary story is that it is an easy group.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Everyone agrees with that.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Except\u2026Algeria is ranked 28<sup>th<\/sup> in the world which means they are not even in the bottom quarter of teams in this tournament.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And Slovenia is ranked 33<sup>rd<\/sup> which means every other group has at least 1 team ranked lower than them.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>You read that right- the \u201ceasy\u201d group the US has, is actually the most difficult group according to FIFA&#8217;s rankings.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>So why do we consider it easy?<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>(Besides that FIFA rankings are laughably unreliable.)<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Because despite the ranking, Slovenia doesn\u2019t have much business being in this tournament.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They drew a weak group in World Cup Qualifying, they only made it out of that group because of a 1-nil win over a nine-man Russia.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They have almost no players in any major European league, they did terribly in Euro 08, and they just seem to lack the talent of serious competitor.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>They are not going to win it all, that much is obvious.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>And even for them (or Algeria) make it out of the group stage would take a near-miracle.<span style=\"mso-spacerun:yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Of course this is the World Cup, and miracles are bound to happen.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">&nbsp; <\/span>Here\u2019s hoping they just don\u2019t happen in group C\u2026<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><em>Come back tomorrow for Why Group D Won\u2019t Win It All<\/em><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Leaky Pipes is back with his uber-offensive (apparently) series explaining why no team will taste immortality this Summer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","inline_featured_image":false,"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":"","_":"","_author_alias":"","cap-aim":"","cap-description":"","cap-display_name":"","cap-first_name":"","cap-jabber":"","cap-last_name":"","cap-linked_account":"","cap-newspack_employer":"","cap-newspack_job_title":"","cap-newspack_phone_number":"","cap-newspack_role":"","cap-user_email":"","cap-user_login":"","cap-website":"","cap-yahooim":"","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_email_html":"","newspack_email_type":"","newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_hide_page_title":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_show_share_buttons":"","newspack_sponsor_byline_prefix":"","newspack_sponsor_disclaimer_override":"","newspack_sponsor_flag_override":"","newspack_sponsor_only_direct":"","newspack_sponsor_url":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_show_updated_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-1119","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1119","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1119"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1119\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1119"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=1119"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lbpost.com\/sports\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=1119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}